81%
Central estimate 2032–33
NOW
Where are we now?
A live view of the evidence and forces shaping the path to superintelligence.
59/100
A capability-readiness score, not a probability.
Severity 78/100 · improving
KEY SIGNALS
Three signals worth attention
AI for Science11 Aug 2026
Claude-assisted Riemann-related result improves a critical-line bound to 67.2%
primary confirmed · relevance 9.0/10
AI for Science01 Aug 2026
Astra reports 10 Lean-formalized mathematics results
primary confirmed · relevance 9.0/10
Intelligence12 Aug 2026
Grok 4.6 launches with a material jump in frontier and agentic performance
independently confirmed · relevance 8.5/10